Stocks
Stock Market Performance Since Trump Took Office

Stock Market Performance Since Trump Took Office
The stock market has undergone significant shifts since Donald Trump took office in January 2017. His economic policies, corporate tax cuts, and deregulation contributed to an early surge, while global events, trade tensions, and a pandemic-induced crash created volatility. The market continued evolving under subsequent administrations, influenced by inflation, interest rate changes, and investor sentiment.
This article provides a detailed overview of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and the broader stock market’s performance from Trump’s inauguration to 2025, covering the key trends, challenges, and factors shaping its movements.
Stock Market Performance Under Trump | Stock Market Performance Since Trump Took Office (2017-2021)
2017-2018: Tax Cuts and Economic Expansion
When Trump took office in January 2017, the DJIA was around 19,800 points. His administration’s focus on corporate tax cuts and deregulation fueled investor confidence, pushing the market higher. The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 lowered corporate tax rates from 35% to 21%, boosting company earnings and stock buybacks.
By early 2018, the DJIA surpassed 26,000 points, marking one of the strongest starts to a presidential term in history. However, concerns over rising interest rates and trade policies led to occasional pullbacks.
2018-2019: Trade Wars and Market Uncertainty
Trump’s trade war with China introduced volatility into the stock market. While negotiations brought occasional relief, tariffs on hundreds of billions of dollars in goods led to uncertainty in manufacturing, technology, and agriculture sectors.
Despite these concerns, the market showed resilience. The DJIA closed 2019 at 28,538 points, posting a 22.3% annual gain, driven by strong consumer spending and corporate earnings.
2020: The COVID-19 Crash and Recovery
The COVID-19 pandemic triggered one of the sharpest stock market crashes in history. By March 2020, the DJIA plummeted to 18,591 points, wiping out gains from the previous three years. Governments worldwide implemented lockdowns, shutting down major industries and disrupting global supply chains.
However, the Federal Reserve’s intervention – including near-zero interest rates and trillion-dollar stimulus packages – helped markets recover. The DJIA rebounded sharply, closing 2020 at 30,606 points, a 7.2% annual increase, despite the crisis.
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2021: Post-Pandemic Economic Growth
As vaccine rollouts accelerated and economies reopened, investor confidence soared. The DJIA surged to 36,338 points by the end of 2021, reflecting a strong 18.7% gain for the year. Tech stocks, consumer spending, and infrastructure investments fueled the rally.
Stock Market Performance Post-Trump (2022-2025)
2022: Inflation and Interest Rate Hikes
By 2022, rising inflation became a pressing concern. The Federal Reserve began aggressive interest rate hikes to curb inflation, which negatively impacted stock valuations. The DJIA dropped by 8.8%, ending the year at 33,147 points.
2023-2024: Market Rebounds Amid Uncertainty
Despite ongoing inflationary concerns and geopolitical tensions, the stock market saw renewed optimism. The DJIA gained 13.7% in 2023 and another 12.9% in 2024, closing the year at 42,544 points.
Investors remained focused on technological advancements, artificial intelligence, and the resilience of consumer spending. While high interest rates persisted, corporate earnings continued to show strength.
2025: Recent Stock Market Trends
As of March 2025, the DJIA stands at 42,579 points. Year-to-date, the market has seen a slight decline of 2.9%, reflecting uncertainty over economic policies, potential recession fears, and ongoing global developments.
Key Factors Influencing the Stock Market Since Trump Took Office
1. Economic Policies
The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 and deregulation under Trump provided early market gains, while subsequent administrations’ policies, including corporate tax proposals and government spending plans, influenced investor sentiment.
2. Interest Rates and Inflation
The Federal Reserve’s decisions on interest rates played a critical role. Low rates fueled stock market gains, while aggressive hikes from 2022 onward led to corrections and volatility.
3. Global Events and Trade Policies
The U.S.-China trade war, COVID-19 pandemic, and Russia-Ukraine conflict contributed to periods of heightened uncertainty and market fluctuations.
4. Technological and Sector-Specific Growth
Tech stocks, AI-driven companies, and renewable energy sectors have played a crucial role in market performance. Investors have increasingly shifted focus toward industries driving long-term economic growth.
Final Verdict
Since Donald Trump took office in 2017, the stock market has experienced major highs and lows. From early economic growth and tax-driven rallies to a historic pandemic crash and recovery, the DJIA’s trajectory reflects a complex mix of policy-driven and external factors.
As of 2025, the market remains influenced by inflation trends, Federal Reserve policies, and global economic shifts. While uncertainties persist, the resilience of corporate earnings and investor sentiment continues to shape the future of the stock market.
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Stocks
Microsoft’s Q3 2025 Earnings: Detailed Analysis

On April 30, 2025, after the market closed, Microsoft released its fiscal third-quarter earnings report, and it was a pleasant surprise for investors. Despite concerns about President Trump’s tariffs impacting the tech sector, Microsoft managed to beat Wall Street’s expectations, leading to a 9% surge in its stock price during after-hours trading.
So, what exactly did Microsoft report? For the quarter that ended on March 31, 2025, the company reported $70.1 billion in revenue, surpassing analysts’ expectations of $68.53 billion. Earnings per share were $3.46, beating the forecasted $3.23. These are impressive results, especially in a challenging economic climate.
The real standout here is Microsoft’s cloud business. Azure, their cloud platform, saw growth that exceeded what Wall Street was predicting. And let’s not forget about artificial intelligence. Microsoft is making significant investments in AI. CEO Satya Nadella highlighted plans to spend $80 billion on building data centers for AI workloads in fiscal 2025. That’s a substantial commitment, underscoring how serious Microsoft is about leading in this cutting-edge field.
Now, about those tariffs. They’re definitely a hot topic. During the earnings call, Microsoft’s CFO Amy Hood addressed how the company is managing the situation. She explained that Microsoft is diversifying its supply chain and exploring new markets to mitigate potential impacts. Additionally, she emphasized that their cloud and AI businesses are relatively insulated from trade disputes, which is reassuring for investors.
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Before this earnings report, Microsoft’s stock had been facing some headwinds, down 6% year-to-date. But this strong performance seems to have shifted the momentum, at least for now. Analysts are largely optimistic, pointing to Microsoft’s dominance in cloud computing and AI as key drivers of future growth. However, they also caution that the full effects of the tariffs are still unfolding, so it’s something to keep an eye on.
Microsoft’s latest earnings demonstrate the company’s ability to perform well even in challenging economic times. With a strong focus on cloud computing and artificial intelligence, Microsoft is positioned for continued growth, making it a stock to watch in the tech sector.
Stocks
RTX Stock’s Earnings Paradox: Here’s What Investors Need to Know

RTX Corporation, a titan in aerospace and defense, recently unveiled its quarterly earnings, delivering a performance that both impressed and puzzled investors. The company reported a higher-than-expected profit, yet its stock price plummeted – a paradox that’s sparked widespread curiosity. Here’s an in-depth look at what happened, why the market reacted the way it did, and what it means for investors moving forward.
A Stellar Earnings Beat
RTX posted adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.47, surpassing Wall Street’s consensus estimate of $1.35. Revenue clocked in at $20.3 billion, topping forecasts of $19.8 billion. These figures highlight operational strength across RTX’s dual pillars: commercial aerospace and defense. The commercial aerospace segment, driven by the ongoing recovery in air travel, saw robust demand, with Pratt & Whitney reporting sales of $7.37 billion – well above expectations. Meanwhile, the defense arm, bolstered by a steady backlog of contracts, held firm despite a complex global landscape.
The Market’s Cold Shoulder
Despite these wins, RTX’s stock slid over 8%, dropping to $115.05 shortly after the announcement. The culprit? A cautious forward outlook from management. While RTX reaffirmed its full-year guidance – projecting adjusted EPS between $6.00 and $6.15 and revenue of $83 billion to $84 billion – investors fixated on the challenges ahead. Management pointed to persistent supply chain disruptions, inflationary pressures, and uncertainty in defense spending tied to geopolitical shifts. Adding fuel to the fire, the specter of potential tariffs loomed large, threatening to disrupt RTX’s global operations further.
This reaction underscores a key investing truth: markets often care more about what’s next than what’s already happened. The earnings beat was overshadowed by fears of future headwinds, prompting a sell-off.
What’s Driving the Disconnect?
To understand this, let’s break it down:
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Supply Chain Woes: Like many industries, RTX is grappling with delays and rising costs, which could erode margins if unresolved.
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Geopolitical Uncertainty: Defense contracts, a lifeline for RTX, hinge on government budgets and global tensions – both unpredictable in today’s climate.
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Commercial Aerospace Upside: The rebound in air travel is a bright spot, but any slowdown could temper this growth engine.
Yet, RTX isn’t without strengths. Its massive order backlog provides revenue visibility, and its investments in cutting-edge tech – like hypersonic weapons and advanced propulsion – position it for future wins.
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What It Means for Investors
For those eyeing RTX, this moment is a double-edged sword:
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Short-Term Volatility: The stock’s dip reflects near-term uncertainty. Investors may see more turbulence as supply chain and policy issues play out.
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Long-Term Potential: RTX’s diversified portfolio and innovation pipeline make it a compelling bet for patient investors. The recent drop could be a buying opportunity if the company executes well.
Consider this: when earnings beats don’t lift stocks, it’s often because expectations were sky-high or future risks loom large. RTX’s case blends both – strong results met outsized concerns.
The Bigger Picture
RTX’s story mirrors the aerospace and defense sector at large. Demand is robust, but operational and macroeconomic hurdles abound. Compared to peers like Lockheed Martin or Northrop Grumman, RTX’s earnings align with industry trends, though its sharper stock reaction suggests unique pressures – or higher investor expectations.
Key Takeaways
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RTX beat earnings estimates but spooked investors with a cautious outlook.
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Supply chain issues and geopolitical risks are short-term threats.
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A strong backlog and innovation offer long-term promise.
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Watch execution and industry trends before jumping in.
Looking Ahead
RTX’s earnings paradox is a lesson in market psychology: past wins don’t guarantee future gains. For investors, the task is clear – weigh the risks against the rewards. As one analyst put it, “The current environment is dynamic, but RTX is well positioned to perform.” Keep an eye on how the company navigates its challenges and seizes its opportunities. In a sector brimming with both uncertainty and potential, understanding the full picture is your edge.
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Stocks
S&P 500 Futures Navigate Choppy Waters Amid Trade Tensions and Earnings Anticipation

The S&P 500 futures market is currently riding a wave of turbulence, mirroring a broader sense of unease as investors wrestle with a mix of economic and geopolitical pressures. Over recent weeks, futures linked to the S&P 500 have swung wildly, with the index itself logging multiple down days. This volatility stems from a trio of forces: ongoing trade policy shifts, the looming earnings season, and critical technical levels – all of which are keeping the market on edge.
Trade Policies Stir the Pot
A major catalyst for the market’s ups and downs has been President Donald Trump’s trade agenda, particularly his tariff policies. These moves have sparked both optimism and jitters among investors. For example, a brief pause on tariffs for countries open to negotiation triggered a massive 9.5% single-day surge in the S&P 500 – the biggest percentage gain since October 2008. Yet, the relief was fleeting. Futures soon retreated, and the index slipped below key thresholds, revealing just how fragile investor confidence remains. Every headline on tariffs or trade talks sends ripples through the market, amplifying the uncertainty.
Earnings Season Looms Large
Adding fuel to the fire is the upcoming earnings season, with over 100 S&P 500 companies poised to unveil their first-quarter results in the days ahead. Analysts have tempered expectations, now forecasting an 8.0% earnings growth for the quarter – down from an earlier 12.2% projection. Investors are zeroing in on these reports for clues about how firms are holding up amid trade disruptions and softening global demand. Sectors like technology and energy, especially vulnerable to trade headwinds, will be in the spotlight. The outcomes could either steady the market or deepen its current wobble.
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Technical Levels Under Scrutiny
On the technical front, S&P 500 futures are teetering near pivotal points. Traders are glued to key moving averages and support zones, with recent chatter on X pinpointing levels like 4,766 – a mark the index brushed earlier this month. Holding above these lines is critical; a breach could pave the way for further drops, potentially testing support at 4,822 or even the psychological 5,000 level, which the index briefly pierced earlier this year. These technical markers will play a big role in signaling whether this dip is just a blip or the start of a steeper slide.
What’s Next for the Market?
Looking forward, the dance between trade developments, corporate earnings, and technical trends promises more twists and turns for S&P 500 futures. Investors are bracing for additional volatility, with potential tariff updates and economic data – like the upcoming CPI report – looming on the horizon. Some analysts argue the worst of the trade fears may have passed, but the market’s recent rollercoaster suggests any calm could be short-lived. For now, S&P 500 futures stand as a real-time gauge of economic nerves, thriving in a climate where unpredictability reigns supreme.
In this stormy sea of factors, the market’s path remains unclear. Will earnings deliver a lifeline, or will trade tensions sink sentiment further? As traders watch those critical levels, one thing is certain: the S&P 500 futures aren’t sailing smoothly anytime soon.
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